- Among Biden voters, 30% support him because they dislike Trump, 26% because they like Biden, 21% because they care about an issue, and 17% support their party’s candidate.
- Among Trump voters, 33% support him because they like Trump, 31% care about an issue, 15% support their party’s candidate, and 12% because they dislike Biden.
With third-party candidates on the ballot, 43% support Trump, 42% Biden, 6% Robert Kennedy Jr., 2% Cornel West, and 1% Jill Stein. Seven percent are undecided.
- Among Trump voters, 83% say they will definitely support him, while 17% could change their minds. Among Biden voters, 87% will definitely support him, and 13% could change their minds. Of Kennedy voters, 57% could change their minds, while 43% will definitely support him.
“This race is well within the poll’s margin of error and could move in either direction. When undecided voters are pushed in the head-to-head matchup, Biden gains a two-point lead; however, when third-party candidates are factored in, Trump has nearly a two-point edge.”
Voters were asked if they think Biden or Trump would do a better job on immigration and border security, abortion access, and the Israel-Hamas war.
- Immigration and border security: 52% Trump, 48% Biden
- Israel-Hamas war: 51% Trump, 49% Biden
- Abortion access: 58% Biden, 42% Trump.
“Independents think Trump would do a better job handling the border than Biden, 53% to 47%, but think Biden would do a better job on abortion access, 61% to 39%, and the Israel-Hamas war, 52% to 48%,” Kimball noted.
The economy is the top issue for 29% of voters, followed by immigration (20%), threats to democracy (14%), healthcare (12%), crime (7%), housing affordability (6%), abortion access (5%), and education (5%).
- Immigration is the top concern among voters over 70, at 34% compared to 9% of voters under 30.
President Biden holds a 41% job approval rating and 48% disapproval. Voters were also asked if they have a favorable or unfavorable view of Biden and Trump. Fifty percent have a favorable view of Biden (28% very favorable, 22% somewhat favorable), while 48% have a favorable view of Trump (32% very favorable, 16% somewhat favorable). Fifty percent have an unfavorable view of Biden (13% somewhat unfavorable, 37% very unfavorable), and 52% have an unfavorable view of Trump (12% somewhat unfavorable, 40% very unfavorable).
On the generic congressional 2024 ballot, 45% support the Democratic candidate, 43% the Republican, and 12% are undecided.
A recent Emerson poll conducted by Insider NJ has revealed that President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are currently tied at 45% among likely voters. This latest survey sheds light on the tight race between the two candidates as the November election approaches.
The poll, which was conducted from August 30th to September 1st, surveyed 1,000 likely voters in New Jersey. The results show that Trump and Biden are neck and neck in the state, with both candidates garnering strong support from their respective bases.
One of the key findings of the poll is the high level of enthusiasm among Trump supporters. According to the survey, 70% of Trump supporters say they are extremely enthusiastic about voting for him, compared to just 56% of Biden supporters who say the same. This could potentially give Trump an edge in mobilizing his base and turning out voters on Election Day.
However, Biden has a slight advantage when it comes to favorability ratings. The poll shows that 49% of likely voters have a favorable view of Biden, while only 43% have a favorable view of Trump. This could be a crucial factor in swaying undecided voters and winning over independents in the final stretch of the campaign.
The Emerson poll also delved into key issues that are top of mind for voters in New Jersey. The economy emerged as the most important issue for voters, with 34% ranking it as their top priority. This could play to Trump’s advantage, as he has consistently touted his economic record and promised to rebuild the economy in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Overall, the Emerson poll highlights the close race between Trump and Biden in New Jersey and underscores the importance of voter turnout and enthusiasm in determining the outcome of the election. As the candidates continue to campaign in the state and across the country, every vote will count in what is shaping up to be a highly contested and consequential election.
