RANDOLPH – Dropping into this Morris County town Sunday morning to launch a local canvass effort, Curtis Bashaw was quite upbeat.
He said he just made the rounds at a local diner and had been well received by just about everyone. Only people at one table refused to take his literature.
Addressing supporters with leafy and colorful trees behind him, Bashaw said independents and even some Democrats will move his way because of the economy and the border.
Then again, a poll popped up over the weekend showing what most people know, but also something a bit revealing.
And the “revealing” part was not good news for Bashaw, the Republican candidate for Senate.
The poll was done by Cygnal, which Real Clear Politics describes as Republican-leaning.
No matter. The poll gave Kamala Harris a 52-40 percentage point lead in New Jersey over Donald Trump. No surprise there.
How about Bashaw?
The poll presented the following
Andy Kim – 51 percent
Bashaw – 32 percent.
Or if you incorporate “genetic” responses from undecided voters, the findings are Kim at 55 percent and Bashaw at 38.
So, a chunk of those voting for Trump will not vote for the Republican senate candidate, the poll said.
Sure, this could be an anomaly.
Then again, we have seen some right-wing groups express dismay with Bashaw’s support for abortion rights. Don’t forget that pro-lifers are a big part of the GOP base.
This poll may be an indication that some religious conservatives will vote for Trump, but not Bashaw.
Asked about the poll, Bashaw remained confident, saying things will change when his ads “go up,” which will happen this week.
He also took some solace from the fact Kim was at “only” 51 percent in one interpretation of the poll, which is just barely a majority.
Keep in mind that “positive spin” is a big part of politics.
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According to recent polls, Kim is leading Bashaw in the U.S. Senate contest. The race between the two candidates has been closely watched by political analysts and voters alike, as it could have significant implications for the balance of power in the Senate.
Kim, a Democrat, has been gaining momentum in the polls in recent weeks. His message of unity and progress has resonated with voters across the state, and his strong debate performances have helped solidify his lead over Bashaw, the Republican candidate.
Bashaw, on the other hand, has faced criticism for his controversial statements and policy positions. His support for divisive issues such as gun rights and immigration reform has alienated some moderate voters, making it difficult for him to gain traction in the polls.
The race between Kim and Bashaw is expected to be one of the most closely contested Senate races in the country. Both candidates have strong support from their respective parties, and outside groups have poured millions of dollars into the race in an effort to sway undecided voters.
As Election Day approaches, all eyes will be on the U.S. Senate contest in New Jersey. The outcome of the race could have far-reaching implications for the future of the Senate and the direction of national politics. Voters will have the opportunity to choose between two very different candidates with distinct visions for the future of the country.
