Since the last Emerson/RCPA poll in late September, there has been no significant movement, Trump’s support increased a point while Harris stayed at 48%.
A majority of Pennsylvania voters (85%) decided who to support over a month ago, while 7% made up their minds in the past month, 4% in the last week, and another 4% are still undecided.
“Voters who decided over a month ago favor Trump 51% to 47%, while voters who made up their mind within the past month/week lean toward Harris 52% to 45%,” Kimball noted.
In the election for US Senate, 47% support incumbent Democrat Bob Casey, while 46% support Republican David McCormick. Six percent are undecided.
Since the last Emerson/RCPA poll in late September, Casey’s support held at 47% while McCormick’s support increased one point.
Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro has a 48% job approval rating, with 48% disapproving of his performance and 24% remaining neutral. President Joe Biden holds a 37% job approval rating, with 55% disapproving, and 8% neutral.
According to the latest Emerson Pennsylvania Poll, President Donald Trump is currently leading Democratic nominee Kamala Harris by just 1% in the battleground state. The poll, conducted by Emerson College, surveyed likely voters in Pennsylvania to gauge their opinions on the upcoming presidential election.
The results of the poll show that Trump has a slight edge over Harris, with 48% of respondents indicating that they would vote for the incumbent president, compared to 47% who said they would vote for Harris. This narrow margin suggests that the race in Pennsylvania is still very much up for grabs, with both candidates having a realistic chance of winning the state’s crucial electoral votes.
The poll also revealed some interesting insights into the preferences of Pennsylvania voters. For example, Trump appears to have a significant advantage among male voters, with 52% indicating that they would vote for him compared to just 43% who said they would vote for Harris. On the other hand, Harris seems to have a slight edge among female voters, with 50% indicating that they would vote for her compared to 46% who said they would vote for Trump.
In terms of age demographics, the poll showed that Trump has a strong lead among older voters, with 54% of respondents aged 65 and older indicating that they would vote for him. However, Harris appears to be more popular among younger voters, with 53% of respondents aged 18-29 indicating that they would vote for her.
Overall, the results of the Emerson Pennsylvania Poll suggest that the race in the battleground state is incredibly close and could go either way. With just a 1% difference between Trump and Harris, both candidates will need to work hard to win over undecided voters and secure Pennsylvania’s crucial electoral votes in the upcoming election.
